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PRESS RELEASES

Current Economic Situation, October 2026

  • DivisionEconomic Policy Bureau - Economic Analysis Division
  • DateOctober 16, 2026
  • Tel+82 44 215 5130

In August 2026, total industrial production, retail sales and facility investment decreased.

 

Output increased in the construction (+1.9% m-o-m, +1.3% y-o-y) and service (+0.5%, +4.6%) sectors, but declined in the industrial sector (-4.8%, -2.2%). As a result, the total production declined by 1.3% month on month, while increasing by 1.9% year on year.

 

Retail sales fell (-1.8% m-o-m, -0.3% y-o-y), and facility investment moved down (-9.5%, +16.1%).

 

Exports in September 2026 grew by 83.5 percent year on year, supported by strong exports of semiconductors, computers, and cosmetics. Average daily exports rose by 104.9 percent in September compared to the same month of last year.

 

The consumer sentiment index (CSI) climbed by 2.1 points month on month to 106.6 in September. The composite business sentiment index (CBSI) went down by 0.5 points month on month to 99.1 in September and the CBSI outlook for October remained unchanged at 99.6.

 

The cyclical indicator of the coincident composite index for August rose by 0.5 points and the cyclical indicator of the leading composite index decreased by 0.1 points.

 

In September, growth in the number of employed persons slowed, while the month-on-month increase in consumer prices moderated.

 

The number of employed persons grew by 113,000 year on year, with the unemployment rate declining by 0.1 percentage points from a year earlier.

 

The consumer price index (CPI) climbed by 2.9 percent year on year (3.1% in August → 2.9% in September), with the index excluding food and energy rising by 2.8 percent, the index excluding agricultural products and petroleum products by 2.7 percent, and the CPI for living necessities by 2.5 percent.

 

In September, stock prices moved up, Korean Treasury Bond yields rose, and the Korean won strengthened against the U.S. dollar.

 

In August, both housing prices (+0.32% m-o-m) and Jeonse[1] prices (+0.35% m-o-m) continued to climb.

 

The Korean economy continues to show signs of a robust recovery, supported by strong export growth, solid investment growth, and a gradual improvement in consumption.

 

However, uncertainties stemming from the Middle East conflict have increased somewhat. Pressures on people’s livelihoods also persist due to rising inflationary pressures from high oil prices and challenging employment conditions for vulnerable groups.

 

The global economy continues to grow at a moderate pace, although uncertainties surrounding the Middle East conflict and U.S. tariff measures remain.

 

The government will make every effort to ensure stable supply and demand for key items to minimize the impact of the Middle East conflict, while strengthening policy efforts to stabilize people's livelihoods and reduce economic polarization so that the benefits of growth can spread throughout the economy.



[1] lump-sum deposits with no monthly payments











Key Statistics



Employment


 

2025

2026

Annual

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Number of employed 
(million)

28.77

29.15

29.04

29.05

28.21

27.99

28.41

28.79

28.96

29.16

29.15

29.14

29.15

29.27

Employment rate  (%)

62.9

63.7

63.4

63.4

61.5

61.0

61.8

62.7

63.0

63.3

63.4

63.3

63.3

63.5

(Seasonally adjusted)

 62.9

63.1

62.9

62.9

62.7

62.8

63.0

63.0

62.7

62.5

62.6

62.7

62.7

62.9



Consumer Price Index

                                                                                         (%)


                                                                                                 2025

                                          2026

 May

 Jun

 Jul

 Aug

 Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

y-o-y

1.9

2.2

2.1

1.7

2.1

2.4

2.4

2.3

2.0

2.0

2.2

2.6

3.1

3.2

2.8

3.1

2.9

m-o-m

-0.1

0.0

0.2

-0.1

0.5

0.3

-0.2

0.3

0.4

0.3

0.3

0.5

0.5

0.1

-0.2

0.2

0.3

 




Retail Sales

(Percentage change from the previous period, %)

 

  2024

                                                       2025

                                            2026

Annual

Q1

Q2

Q3

 Q4

 Annual

Q1

Q2

 Q3

 Q4

      Q1

     Q2



     

      Jun

     Jul¹

     Aug¹

Retail sales

-1.9

-1.2

-0.7

0.4

-0.6

0.3

0.6

-0.6

1.2

0.6

2.4

-1.8

2.7

-2.6

-1.8

(y-o-y)

-

-1.5

-3.0

-1.4

 -1.8

-

-0.8

-0.1

1.6

0.9

3.2

2.3

4.0

-1.0

-0.3

1. Preliminary





Facility Investment Index

(Percentage change from the previous period, %)

 

                                                               2024

                                          2025

                                    2026

Annual

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

   Annual

       Q1

      Q2

      Q3

     Q4

    Q1

   Q2



 

    Jun

   Jul¹

  Aug¹

Facility investment index

3.0

-3.0

0.4

6.0

1.8

      1.2

-2.2

0.3

0.6

-3.8

13.0

3.4

6.2

8.0

-9.5

(y-o-y)

-

-1.5

-3.4

11.4

5.6

    -

5.4

5.5

1.2

-6.2

9.8

12.8

21.6

24.6

16.1

1. Preliminary

  



Construction Completed

 (Percentage change from the previous period, %)

 

                                        2024

                                           2025

                                        2026

  Annual

     Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

   Annual

      Q1

      Q2

     Q3

      Q4

 Q1

    Q2




Jun

 Jul¹

   Aug¹

Construction Completed

(Constant)

-4.6

4.5

-5.5

-4.6

-4.6

    -16.5

-7.2

-2.6

-0.8

-4.1

0.5

0.1

4.1

-1.0

1.9

(y-o-y)

-

4.1

-3.1

-9.9

-9.5

      -

-21.1

-17.3

-11.9

-15.1

-6.1

-4.9

-4.4

-3.4

1.3

1. Preliminary





Exports and Imports

 (US$ billion, y-o-y, %)

 

2025

                                                                             2026

 Annual

 Q1

  Q2  

Q3

Q4

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Exports

709.33

159.53

175.13

184.89

189.78

65.84

67.64

87.36

85.75

87.55

101.96

99.19

98.28

129.04

(y-o-y, %)

3.8

-2.3

2.1

6.5

8.4

33.9

29.4

50.5

47.8

52.9

70.4

63.3

68.7

83.5

Average daily exports

2.64

2.49

2.63

2.59

2.85

2.80

3.56

3.80

3.57

4.27

4.53

4.13

4.47

5.63

Imports

631.90

152.84

154.40

162.49

162.16

57.15

52.11

60.75

62.11

60.75

66.05

68.54

63.50

71.09

(y-o-y, %)

-0.0

-1.3

-1.8

1.5

1.4

11.7

7.8

13.9

16.7

20.7

30.0

26.4

22.4

26.0

Average daily imports

2.35

2.39

2.32

2.27

2.44

2.43

2.74

2.64

2.59

2.96

2.94

2.86

2.89

3.31





Industrial Production (Mining, Manufacturing, Electricity and Gas Production)

                (Percentage change from the previous period, %)


 2024

                                             2025

                   2026

Annual

Q2

Q3

Q4

   Annual

Q1

Q2

Q3

     Q4

Q1

Q2

Aug¹

Industrial Production2

m-o-m,

q-o-q

-

1.7

-0.1

1.9

-

0.7

1.0

1.5

-3.4

2.7

1.5

-4.8

y-o-y

4.1

5.0

2.4

3.8

2.8

2.9

3.1

7.8

-2.0

2.7

2.2

-2.2

Manufacturing

Production

m-o-m,

q-o-q

-

1.8

-0.3

2.2

-

0.8

0.9

1.4

-3.3

3.0

1.3

-5.1

y-o-y

4.3

5.1

2.2

4.1

3.0

2.8

3.5

8.1

-1.9

3.0

2.2

-2.4

Shipments (m-o-m, q-o-q)

-

0.9

-0.2

0.9

-

0.0

1.1

0.4

-2.0

2.3

-0.4

-3.6

Inventory3 (m-o-m, q-o-q)

-

-1.0

-0.1

-0.8

-

-3.0

-1.9

0.8

0.4

-0.5

2.9

0.6

Production capacity (y-o-y)

0.8

1.0

0.6

1.0

2.3

2.0

2.5

2.9

1.8

0.9

0.8

0.7

Average operation ratio4

72.6

73.3

72.1

72.5

72.6

72.9

72.9

73.1

71.4

73.3

72.9

70.8

  1. Preliminary

  2. Mining, Manufacturing, Electricity and Gas Production

  3. End-point (month, quarter, and year)

  4. Average operation ratio for the month (or quarter)




  

Service Output

           (Percentage change from the previous period, %)

 

                                               2024

                                                2025

                                                  2026

 Annual

 Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

   Annual

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2




Jun

Jul¹

Aug¹

Service output

1.1

 0.3

0.0

     -0.2

      1.1

      2.0

0.3

 0.4

0.7

1.2

1.4

1.3

1.0

-1.4

0.5

    1. Preliminary




Composite Indices of Coincident and Leading Indicators

                                                                                           (Points)

 

 2025

                                                                                       2026

Oct

Nov

Dec

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun¹

Jul¹

Aug¹

Cyclical indicator of coincident composite index

99.5

99.3

99.1

99.1

99.7

100.1

100.3

99.9

100.4

101.2

101.7

m-o-m (points)

-0.4

-0.2

-0.2

0.0

0.6

0.4

0.2

-0.4

0.5

0.8

0.5

Cyclical indicator of leading composite index

99.6

99.8

100.2

100.7

101.2

101.8

102.3

102.9

103.8

104.3

104.2

m-o-m (points)

-0.1

0.2

0.4

0.5

0.5

0.6

0.5

0.6

0.9

0.5

-0.1

1. Preliminary


 





Please refer to the attached files.


Ministry of Finance and Economy
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